An article gives us a glimpse of what we can expect from this year’s weather patterns.
Main point:
- “El Niño is expected to arrive later this year, and the warmer weather pattern could continue to build up through 2024, sending global temperatures past that 1.5 degrees C marker, or 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit, after which they could ease back when a La Niña returns.”
More about it:
- “But there’s still plenty of uncertainty.
- According to the most recent forecast from NOAA, El Niño has a 60 percent chance of forming by the fall…”
- “…although other scientists are more confident it’s on the way.”
- “Hitting 1.5 degrees in an El Niño year wouldn’t be the same as averaging those temperatures across several years.”
- “This is a different story compared to if it’s a constant state every year for vegetation or corals. One year might be survivable, but what happens if it’s always those temperatures?”
Why it matters:
- “Most estimates said 1.5 degrees of warming wouldn’t arrive until at least the early 2030s. The chance that El Niño could push the planet above that mark for the first time.”
- “…a strong El Niño like the one in that started in 2015 could cause some permanent damage.”
- “El Niño’s arrival could also be disastrous for the Amazon rainforest.”
Some agencies are telling us El Niño is underway.
#SciTech_Environment